{"id":101857,"title":"Totalis - Parlay on Anything","tagline":"Derivative Layer for Prediction Markets ","body":"**TL;DR:** Combine ideas across categories like crypto, politics, sports, and macro in one parlay!\\\ntry it out : [app.totalis.trade](https://app.totalis.trade/?invite=HXNnZfk3F4R8GZkbh7BMZc)\n\n![uploaded image](/media/?type=post\u0026id=101857\u0026key=user_uploads/1270958/f74c704c-8bcc-4738-ba9f-5c2e2fdb4f0c)\n\nHey 👋 we’re Pravesh and Eric, building **Totalis**.\n\nPeople usually don’t think in isolated events. We think in second and third-order effects:\n\n* if Google has the best AI model, does S\u0026amp;P price go up?\n* if Trump talks about Crypto, does BTC move?\n* if macro gets weird, do gold + crypto move together?\n\nRight now, prediction markets mostly let you trade one event at a time. **Totalis lets you trade the whole thesis.**\n\nA parlay is simple: pick 2–5 things you think will happen together, combine them into one trade, and get a larger payout if all legs hit.\n\nInstead of putting $100 into each individual market, you can put $100 into the combined thesis. That makes it more capital efficient if your view is really about the events happening together.\n\nFor example:\\\n**“Google wins AI → SPY rips”**\\\nThesis:\\\n\\- if Google has the top AI model:\\\n\\- GOOGL closes above target\\\n\\- SPY closes above target\n\n![uploaded image](/media/?type=post\u0026id=101857\u0026key=user_uploads/1270958/c3707919-ca3f-4f61-aeaf-95abc3030302)\n\n**“Geopolitics influencing asset prices”**\\\nThesis:\\\n\\- if Trump discusses “Iran” in China\\\n\\- if Trump says “Crypto”\\\n\\- Oil price above target\\\n\\- BTC above target\n\n![uploaded image](/media/?type=post\u0026id=101857\u0026key=user_uploads/1270958/21a5890c-0d22-4651-b3e9-9f24a005743d)\n\nWe’re starting with markets that resolve fast, data-rich, recurring, and with deep liquidity. These correlations are easiest to test.\n\n**How it works:**\\\nBrowse markets across crypto, politics, stocks, sports, weather, and more. Add legs to a parlay. We send it through RFQ and market makers return a quote. You accept or reject. No orderbooks, no central “house” that controls payout structure to ensure profits.\n\n**Why now:**\\\nPrediction markets have exploded, but they still mostly look like single-event betting. In mature financial markets, people don’t just trade single assets — they trade baskets, spreads, options, hedges, and structured products.\\\nParlays are the first obvious primitive for prediction markets.\n\n**Asks:**\n\n1. **Try the app:** [app.totalis.trade](https://app.totalis.trade/?invite=HXNnZfk3F4R8GZkbh7BMZc)\n2. **Drop your favorite parlay below:** what do you think happen together? We’d love to bring the best ones live and price them.\n3. **Market makers:** if you’re interested in making markets on parlays, or know someone who would be, please DM / intro us. We’d love to chat!\n\nNote: For regulatory reasons, we’re only offering this product to people outside of US right now.\n\nPravesh \u0026amp; Eric","slug":"QUr-totalis-parlay-on-anything","created_at":"2026-05-25T14:52:29.789Z","updated_at":"2026-06-20T18:58:13.078Z","total_vote_count":8,"url":"https://www.ycombinator.com/launches/QUr-totalis-parlay-on-anything","share_image_url":"//bookface-static.ycombinator.com/assets/ycdc/yc-og-image-c440a0ad1dacfb86eeeb343717479cc54d256614449b4ef719977a0a451f8bc8.png","company":{"id":31344,"name":"Totalis","slug":"totalis","url":"https://www.totalis.trade","logo":"https://bookface-images.s3.amazonaws.com/small_logos/511d877345852eb10f307bb1381829f64760f295.png","batch":"Spring 2026","industry":"Fintech","tags":[],"search_path":"https://bookface.ycombinator.com/company/31344"}}