
TL;DR: Combine ideas across categories like crypto, politics, sports, and macro in one parlay!
try it out : app.totalis.trade
Hey 👋 we’re Pravesh and Eric, building Totalis.
People usually don’t think in isolated events. We think in second and third-order effects:
Right now, prediction markets mostly let you trade one event at a time. Totalis lets you trade the whole thesis.
A parlay is simple: pick 2–5 things you think will happen together, combine them into one trade, and get a larger payout if all legs hit.
Instead of putting $100 into each individual market, you can put $100 into the combined thesis. That makes it more capital efficient if your view is really about the events happening together.
For example:
“Google wins AI → SPY rips”
Thesis:
- if Google has the top AI model:
- GOOGL closes above target
- SPY closes above target
“Geopolitics influencing asset prices”
Thesis:
- if Trump discusses “Iran” in China
- if Trump says “Crypto”
- Oil price above target
- BTC above target
We’re starting with markets that resolve fast, data-rich, recurring, and with deep liquidity. These correlations are easiest to test.
How it works:
Browse markets across crypto, politics, stocks, sports, weather, and more. Add legs to a parlay. We send it through RFQ and market makers return a quote. You accept or reject. No orderbooks, no central “house” that controls payout structure to ensure profits.
Why now:
Prediction markets have exploded, but they still mostly look like single-event betting. In mature financial markets, people don’t just trade single assets — they trade baskets, spreads, options, hedges, and structured products.
Parlays are the first obvious primitive for prediction markets.
Asks:
Note: For regulatory reasons, we’re only offering this product to people outside of US right now.
Pravesh & Eric